Riftbound Market Watch — November 2026: Sold Prices Fell 13%, Europe Followed the US Down, and Every Booster Box Got Cheaper

Riftbound market watch, November 2026: eBay sold prices fell 13.4% on the same cards, Europe followed the US down, and every booster box got cheaper.

Riftbound, the League of Legends TCG by Riot Games, fell on every venue in October 2026. According to Cardlogs market data, the same 144 Riftbound cards lost 13.4% of their eBay sold value between October 2 and November 4, the TCGplayer index fell 3.3%, and Europe, which rose 5.1% in September, fell 3.2% on the same cards. Every main-set booster box got cheaper on both sides of the Atlantic.

This is the fourth edition of the monthly Riftbound market watch, and it opens with two corrections. Our October call on Vendetta's booster box went the wrong way, and two of the ten cards we ranked in October should not have ranked. Both are below, along with the one pattern that ran through the whole month: the cards that sell kept falling, while the most expensive listings on TCGplayer barely moved.

How did the Riftbound market perform in October 2026?

Down on all three sources, and steepest where cards actually sell. From the October 2 to the November 4, 2026 nightly:

The Cardlogs Market Cap Index is a chain-linked index (base 100 on May 28, 2026) of same-card price moves night over night, so newly listed cards never count as growth. The "same cards, summed" column is our cross-check: the total stored price of every card priced on both dates. All three indexes fell on at least 22 of the 32 nights we recorded.

The eBay fall is real, and it is the Signatures. The cross-check agrees with the index: 110 of the 144 cards fell, and the median card lost 8.9%. The two worst nights were single cards taking a new, lower sale. On October 7 the eBay price of Ahri - Inquisitive (Signature) went from $6,500 to $3,700, 88% of that night's fall. On October 20 Kai'Sa and Vayne reset lower and made up 98% of it. Two other nights are our own data rather than the market: October 13 (+2.7%, when Jinx's eBay price was built from two graded slabs filed as raw copies) and October 25 (−2.9%, when new Radiance cards lost eBay prices built from sales of their signed versions). Jinx's slab-built figure is still its eBay price today; take it out and the same cards fell 16.3%.

The Cardmarket index was pushed around by one card. Its biggest two nights were the same T1 Signature Edition card, Miss Fortune, Buccaneer (Signature), dropping from €3,550 to €1,400 on October 7 (99% of a −2.3% night) and then jumping to €5,228.68 on October 12 (103% of a +4.1% night). Set the ten T1 cards aside and the 1,379 other cards Cardmarket priced on both dates fell 3.22%, almost exactly the index.

Two nights to disclose on TCGplayer. On October 27 the TCGplayer leg ran on 496 card pairs instead of the usual ~1,540, and on October 28 it was held flat, while Cardlogs switched its cheapest Riftbound cards (under about $5) to TCGplayer's own daily market price. The two nights together moved the leg −0.19%, and the cards the switch touched barely moved (a median −0.02%). Separately, our October 14 nightly did not run, so no source has a reading for that night.

Did Europe follow the US down?

Yes. In October we wrote that the same cards rose 5.1% on Cardmarket while TCGplayer fell 3.9%, and that a month of Cardmarket declines would close the gap. That month happened. According to Cardlogs market data, Cardmarket's same-card value fell 3.22% (T1 excluded) between October 2 and November 4, 2026, against a 3.29% fall in the TCGplayer index.

The shape matches too. On both venues the most expensive cards barely moved and the middle of the market fell hardest:

Moves are measured on each card's own daily price from October 2 to November 4; Cardmarket bands use the day's ECB rate ($1 = €0.88755). The one place Europe still held up is the cheap end, where most Cardmarket prices did not change. Every main-set booster box also fell in Europe, which is the clearest sign the two markets moved together this month (see the box table below).

How did October's calls hold up?

October named four things to watch. All four have an answer, and one went against us.

What we got wrong on Vendetta. We wrote that "two of three readings put Vendetta at about $173; the single US box is the outlier." The single box was the first reading to move, and it was right. TCGplayer's case price fell from $1,039.54 to $765.54, and Cardmarket's single box followed the US down, from €153.70 to €120.61. The outlier was the case.

What happened to October's top 10?

Five of the ten still rank. Our rule needs a TCGplayer price printed on the ranking night and a newest raw eBay sale within 60 days that lands within 30% of it. As of November 4, 2026:

What we got wrong. Two of October's ten failed the rule on sales we did not read in time. Irelia - Fervent's newest raw sale was $2,200 on September 19, 1.40 times its price; that sale reached our ledger on October 7, four days after we ranked the card #4 on an August sale. Leona - Radiant Dawn's newest raw sale was $635 on September 23, 0.697 of its price and a fraction outside the rule; it sat in our sales table from September 26, but the per-card sale list our October ranking read did not carry it. Both cards belonged in the not-ranked list. This edition's ranking was checked against the full sales table before publishing.

Kai'Sa is a different case. Its #2 rank was right on the evidence, a $3,150 sale five weeks old, which we flagged at the time. The three sales since came in 32% to 57% under the price, and TCGplayer has printed the same $3,114.31 all month.

What is the most expensive Riftbound card right now?

Ranked on the same rule as the November Riftbound price list, one night later, as of November 4, 2026 (Cardmarket at $1 = €0.88755):

The one change from yesterday's list is Baron Nashor, which ranked #3 on the November 3 data and fell out on the November 4 sale above. According to Cardlogs market data, of the 21 paper Riftbound cards priced above $1,000 on TCGplayer as of November 4, 2026, seven pass the rule. Four fail because they sold under the price, four because they sold well over it, four have no recent raw sale, and two are Radiance cards we hold out until their sales settle.

Akali is the clearest gap. Akali, Rogue Assassin (Signature) reads $3,229.71 on TCGplayer, the same as on October 2. Its five raw eBay sales from October 21 to November 2 went for $1,525 to $2,176.20, a median of $1,675.99, about half that price; in September four raw copies sold for $3,036.87 to $3,700. Ahri - Inquisitive shows the graded side of the same slide: PSA 10 copies sold for $10,000 on September 25 and $6,528 on November 1.

Is the typical Riftbound card moving?

Yes, down, everywhere except the top. On the same 30-day TCGplayer delta basis as every edition, as of November 4, 2026:

The median card above $1 fell 9.6%, against 6.0% a month ago. Above $1,000, four cards in five printed no change at all in 30 days; metal promos, which have not moved since early September, are part of that, but even without them 11 of the 19 paper cards above $1,000 stood still. The top of TCGplayer is not repricing, and the eBay sales on those same cards are falling.

By set, on each card's own daily TCGplayer series from October 2 to November 4, Vendetta was the weakest again at a median −20.0%, then Spiritforged −13.6%, Unleashed −11.2% and Origins −10.8%. The 32 Signature cards with a series on both dates moved a median 0.00%: 13 up, 11 unchanged, 8 down.

Which Riftbound cards moved on actual sales?

This table keeps only cards priced above $100 whose move on TCGplayer is backed by October raw eBay sales within 30% of the November 4 price. Moves are each card's own daily TCGplayer series; metal promos excluded:

The unsigned overnumbered prints of the chase champions fell 15% to 31% on sales: Nine-Tailed Fox, Akali, Mel, Irelia and Lee Sin. The exception is Ahri - Inquisitive's overnumbered print, which rose 80% on TCGplayer with seven raw sales agreeing, the strongest sale-backed gain of the month. Irelia, Fervent (VEN-174) was one of October's gainers at +35.7% and gave all of it back.

October's movers, a month on. Of the eleven cards on last month's movers table, the median is −5.9% since October 2. Five of the six gainers fell back, including the Secret Garden Bundle's Ultrasoft Poro ($125.84 to $104.30) and Viktor, Leader (V.2 - Showcase) ($149.99 to $101.48); only Jinx, Rebel held, at $251.39.

What do Riftbound booster boxes cost right now?

Less than a month ago, on every main set and both venues. As of November 4, 2026:

Radiance lost 55% from its presale price. TCGplayer's Radiance booster display read $238.49 on October 2, $147.27 a week later, $130.18 on its October 23 street date and $107.26 on November 4. Cardmarket fell less, from €131.57 to €108.02 (about $121.71), so the newest set is now the cheapest main-set box on TCGplayer and about 12% cheaper in the US than in Europe. Its single-card story is in the Radiance card list and price guide.

The cases fell faster than the boxes. Vendetta's six-box case went from $173.26 a box to $127.59, still 6.9% above the single box. Origins' case went from $1,647.98 to $1,354.44, which is $225.74 a box and now 6% under the single box at $240.30. When a case sells for less per box than a single box, buyers who can take six get the better price.

Cardlogs Box EV is the expected market value of the cards pulled from one sealed booster box, recomputed nightly from live singles prices and pull rates. No main set returns its box price on TCGplayer this month, the same as October. On Cardmarket prices, Origins does: €179.88 of expected card value on a €175.11 box, 103%, where in October only Unleashed cleared its box there. Our Riftbound Box EV breakdown explains how to read the metric.

Collector sealed, smaller moves. The Worlds Bundle 2025 is $1,062.28 on TCGplayer (−2.4% since October 2) and €604.19 on Cardmarket (−6.4%). The Arcane Box Set is $472.79 (−10.7%) and €497.04 (−0.7%).

What is the T1 Signature Edition worth now?

Less as a box, more or less per card depending on the card. On Cardmarket, the T1 Signature Edition box set fell 40.0% between October 2 and November 4, 2026, from €4,792.65 to €2,876.51, with the biggest step in the week to October 30 (€4,042.30 to €3,118.87).

The signed cards went both ways on Cardmarket. Galio, Indefatigable (Signature) rose from €5,756.76 to €9,089.36, the highest price on any Riftbound card in our data. Miss Fortune, Buccaneer ended at €5,228.68 after its €1,400 night, Seraphine, Not Alone fell from €5,000 to €3,038.32, and Ambessa, The Wolf from €2,313.33 to €1,113.52. Xin Zhao, Vigilant printed the same €2,227.71 every night, which is what an untested ask looks like.

The unsigned base cards kept falling in Europe: Seraphine from €418.72 to €49.29, Ambessa from €434.45 to €126.04. TCGplayer lists three of them far higher, with no sale in our data: Galio at $1,498 (Cardmarket €164.73, about $186), Miss Fortune at $1,300 (€104.37, about $118) and Seraphine at $1,233.33 (€49.29, about $56). Our T1 drawing coverage has the allocation background.

What should collectors watch before the December edition?

Four events our nightly data will show.

First, whether TCGplayer's top catches up with its sales. Kai'Sa reads $3,114.31 against raw sales of $1,325 to $2,113.88, and Akali reads $3,229.71 against a $1,675.99 median. A TCGplayer print within 30% of those sales, or a raw sale back near the listed price, settles which side is right.

Second, Baron Nashor's next raw sale. It sold for $1,750 on October 8 and $1,261.01 on November 4. Any raw sale above $1,268 puts it back on the ranked board at today's $1,810.75; another near $1,261 says the Unleashed Ultimate has a new price.

Third, whether Radiance's box stops above $100. It fell 55% in a month and is the cheapest main box on TCGplayer at $107.26, with Cardmarket about 13% higher. We will also note whether Vendetta's single box and case meet; the case sits 6.9% above it.

Fourth, Radiance's first ranked singles. We hold Radiance out until each top card has settled sales. Riven, The Exile (Signature) is the first candidate: $1,297.50 on TCGplayer, with raw sales at $1,715.63 and $1,706.73, both above it.

For the same monthly read on other games, see the One Piece Market Watch and the Fusion World Market Watch for November. Over the same 30 days, Riftbound's TCGplayer leg fell 3.9%, against −1.9% for One Piece, +1.6% for Dragon Ball and +3.5% for Pokémon. Last month's edition is archived as the October Riftbound Market Watch.

Where this data comes from

Cardlogs aggregates prices nightly from TCGplayer, Cardmarket and eBay sold listings (via PriceCharting): 1,710 Riftbound cards priced on TCGplayer, 1,633 on Cardmarket and 1,381 on the eBay side as of November 4, 2026, plus PSA and BGS population data. The eBay count rose from 914 in October because Cardlogs linked the Vendetta and Radiance cards to their sales on October 24. Market-level moves use the Cardlogs Market Cap Index, a chain-linked index comparing only same-card pairs night over night, and each leg is checked against the summed stored prices of the same cards on October 2 and November 4 before we print it; the TCGplayer cross-check covers cards with a TCGplayer daily price on both dates, nearly all above $5, with metal promos left out. Our October 14 nightly did not run, and the TCGplayer leg was held flat on October 28 during a change in how Cardlogs reads TCGplayer prices for cards under about $5.

The ranked table uses the same rule as our Riftbound price list: TCGplayer must have printed the card's price in our daily log on November 4, 2026, and its newest raw eBay sale in the last 60 days (a sold title naming no grading company, read for the right printing) must land within 30% of that price. Every ranked card was checked against our full sales table, both sold-listing feeds included. Cardmarket is converted at the day's ECB rate of €0.88755 per $1 and shown, but does not rank a card; metal promos are named, never ranked; Radiance cards are held out while their sales settle. Movers are measured on each card's own daily TCGplayer series between October 2 and November 4, and the sale-backed table also requires October raw sales within 30% of the November 4 price. Breadth figures cover the 543 Riftbound cards priced above $1 with a 30-day TCGplayer delta. Box prices are TCGplayer market prices and Cardmarket trend prices from our nightly log; case figures are the case price divided by its six boxes. All figures are as of the November 4, 2026 nightly; the live pages update every night.

Every card, box and index in this article is tracked live on Cardlogs, on web, iOS and Android, including the full most-expensive Riftbound ranking, the Box EV breakdown and the graded population report.